Elvina Kalieva vs Hanna Chang Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Chang has a marginal edge, winning 40.52% of points on their second serve, slightly more than Kalieva's 39.42%.
• Return Game: Although Chang wins 50.9% of opponents' second serve points, Kalieva performs better, winning 52.4%. For first serve returns, Kalieva again holds the advantage at 35.43% compared to Chang's 33.71%.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Kalieva shows a little more resilience under pressure, saving 47.78% of breakpoints compared to Chang's 46.64%.
• Overall Match Wins: Both players have near identical win rates over the past year, with Chang at 49.18% and Kalieva at 49.21%.
• Favorite Surface: Chang excels on Hard courts with a 60% win rate; Kalieva performs best on Clay, winning 56% of matches.
• Match Experience: Chang has slightly more experience at high-stakes tournaments, with a win rate of 53.06% in Challengers/ITF events compared to Kalieva's 50%.
• Head-to-Head Meetings: Chang has notably won both previous encounters against Kalieva, winning 4 out of 5 sets played.
• Deciding Set Performance: When matches extend to a deciding set, Chang has a higher success rate (57%) compared to Kalieva's 35%.
• Opponent Quality: In terms of opponents faced, Chang has battled slightly tougher opponents, with an average rank of 307.67 versus Kalieva's 326.98.
• Break Point Conversion: Kalieva has a superior breakpoint conversion rate at 46.83%, surpassing Chang’s 35.75% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (July 3, 2025, UTC):

With only marginal differences in their second serve statistics and overall win rates, both Chang and Kalieva bring competitive strengths to the table. However, Kalieva's edge in returning games, especially on the first serve, suggests she could neutralize some of Chang’s service advantages.

Historically, Chang has been more successful in head-to-head matchups, winning both prior encounters. This psychological edge, accompanied by a better performance record in deciding sets, could play a crucial role if the match becomes fiercely contested.

While Kalieva demonstrates an impressive ability to convert break points, Chang's head-to-head record and familiarity with high-pressure situations may give her an upper hand. Given these dynamics, Chang appears more likely to seize a victory in this upcoming match.